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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-25 19:42:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 25 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized during the past several hours and the surface circulation has become a little better defined. Although upper-level winds are marginally conducive for further development, a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward toward the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite derived wind data indicate that the small low pressure system that was located just off of the coast of south-central Mexico near Puerto Angel has opened up into a trough of low pressure. Consequently, development of this system appears to be less likely. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another low pressure system is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form while it moves slowly east-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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