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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-26 01:47:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 252347 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Aug 25 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. This system will likely become a tropical depression or tropical storm during the next day or two while it moves slowly east-northeastward or northeastward, near or just west of the southwestern coast of Mexico. For more information on this system, see High Seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure near the coast of south-central Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system has become unlikely due to unfavorable upper-level winds and close proximity to land. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another low pressure system is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although this system is currently producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity, its circulation has become better defined during the past several hours. Some additional development of the disturbance is expected and it will likely become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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