000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101744
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 10 2020
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Showers and thunderstorms have changed little since early this
morning in association with a small low pressure system located
about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. In addition, satellite data suggests that the
low is not as well-defined as it was yesterday. Environmental
conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for
development as the low is expected to encounter dry air while moving
toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph over the next day
or so. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit
further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico are associated with the
remnants of Norbert. Little to no development of this disturbance is
expected over the next couple of days due to unfavorable
environmental conditions. However, by the middle of next week the
disturbance is expected to begin moving west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph into an area where conditions are expected to become more
favorable for some development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Latto