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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-07 13:39:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071139 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jun 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles south-southeast of Socorro Island. However, the system still lacks a well-defined center, as recent satellite imagery indicates the low-level circulation remains broad and displaced well east of the thunderstorm activity. The disturbance still has the potential to become a short-lived tropical depression today before environmental conditions become less favorable for development by tonight. The system is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake

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