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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-07 19:53:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071753 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located about 400 miles south of Socorro Island has developed a well-defined center. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is not well-organized. Environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly unfavorable beginning tonight, and the chances of a short-lived tropical depression forming are decreasing. The system is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. Regardless of development, this system could produce heavy rainfall over portions of Central America and southern Mexico later this week and into the weekend. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
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