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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-12 19:58:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121758 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 12 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite and microwave imagery indicate that the area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better-defined while associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization. Therefore, this system will likely become a tropical depression later today or tonight as it moves slowly westward. Early next week, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized in association with a weak area of low pressure located about a hundred miles south-southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be somewhat conducive for further development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression could still form during that time. By early next week, the system is forecast to interact with land and a larger disturbance developing to its north, and further development is not anticipated. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

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