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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-16 13:40:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
283 ABPZ20 KNHC 161140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located about 1900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A low-pressure system is expected to develop along this trough within the next couple of days, and environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development of this disturbance later this week. A tropical depression could form by the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, offshore of and parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, and Michoacan during the next few days, and these rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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