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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-12 01:17:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Jul 11 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by midweek well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec around midweek and move westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

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