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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-13 01:20:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122320 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jul 12 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec later this week and move westward at 10 to 15 mph, well offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

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