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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-14 07:54:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140553 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 13 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located about 650 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization, and recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation is becoming better defined. Environmental conditions remain favorable for continued development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today while the low moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of the coast of southern Mexico late this week and move westward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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