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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-26 07:49:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 260549 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A well-defined low pressure system located about 1100 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, and environmental conditions are gradually becoming less conducive for additional development to occur. However, any increase in the organization of the shower activity would result in the formation of a tropical depression on Monday. The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific basin by late Monday morning, and by Tuesday conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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