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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-27 07:18:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 270518 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 26 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small but well-defined area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a small area of shower and thunderstorm activity near its center. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some gradual development of this system over the next several days as it moves westward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop in a few days several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph, staying several hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Brown

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