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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-20 13:51:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201151 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 20 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Hurricane Grace, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, is forecast to move inland over mainland Mexico by early Saturday morning and dissipate over Mexico by early Sunday. However, Grace's remnants are expected to continue moving westward and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean off the west-central coast of Mexico early Sunday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of southern Mexico early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi

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