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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-23 07:15:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms association with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation has become better defined since early today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development, and if these development trends continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later tonight or early Monday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. Additional information on this system can found in high seas forecasts issued by the NOAA National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of disturbed weather off the coast of southern Mexico is associated with some disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the system move west-northwestward or northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Brown
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