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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-01 19:55:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011755 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A trough of low pressure is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico. Development of this system has become less likely due to unfavorable environmental conditions. The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
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