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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-22 01:31:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 212331 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Sep 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development of this system while it meanders offshore the next few days, and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week when the system begins to move slowly eastward or northeastward toward the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Central Portion of the East Pacific: An area of low pressure could form well to the southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves slowly eastward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-22 01:30:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

087 ABNT20 KNHC 212330 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96): An area of low pressure located about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda continues to produce a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms northeast of its center. However, the low is embedded in a very dry environment, and therefore significant development is not expected while it moves generally northward at 5 to 10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure should form during the next few days over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent portions of Central America. Thereafter, gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form as the system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa on Sunday or Monday. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form next week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-21 19:48:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 211748 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon): Strong upper-level winds continue to keep showers displaced well to the east of an area of low pressure (the remnants of Gordon) located over one thousand miles southwest of the Azores. Development of this system is not expected while it moves slowly northwestward over the central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96): An area of low pressure located about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda continues to produce a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms northeast of its center. However, the low is embedded in a very dry environment, and therefore significant development is not expected while it moves generally northward at 5 to 10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is likely to form by the early to middle part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent portions of Central America. Thereafter, gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form as the system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa on Sunday or Monday. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form next week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg


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