Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

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2024-10-18 07:01:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

662 ABPZ20 KNHC 180501 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 17 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle part of next week well offshore of southwestern Mexico. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter portion of next week as the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-18 01:16:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 172316 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A poorly-defined trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph, passing near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Friday, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. By late this weekend, further development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Western Caribbean Sea (AL95): Satellite images show a broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea is gradually becoming better defined, and nearby buoy observations indicate surface pressures are falling. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday, and environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional development over the next couple of days. A short-lived tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart

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