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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-01 00:43:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 312343 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Central East Pacific (EP92): Satellite-derived winds indicate that the area of low pressure located a little over 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better defined this afternoon. However, shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Some further development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while the low moves slowly to the west-northwest. By late this weekend, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive to development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern Mexico during the early to middle part of next week. Afterward, some slow development is possible while the system meanders or drifts generally eastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-01 00:40:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 312340 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible during the next 2-3 days as it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. North Atlantic: A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 500 miles west of the western Azores is producing limited shower activity. Some subtropical development is possible while the low moves generally eastward during the next few days. Additional information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Pasch


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-31 18:31:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 311730 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days across portions of the area from Nicaragua southeastward and eastward to northern Colombia. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible during the next 2-3 days as it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. North Atlantic: Showers and thunderstorms have developed near the center of a storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 550 miles west of the western Azores. However, any additional development into a subtropical or tropical cyclone is expected to be slow to occur as the system moves eastward during the next few days. Additional information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Beven


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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