New York Times: Long-term weather forecasters say it is now unlikely that a strong El Nio will develop this fall, dimming hopes in California for heavy rains that might bring relief from a severe drought. In its latest monthly forecast, the federal Climate Prediction Center in College Park, Md., said that while there was still about a two in three chance that El Nio would develop, perhaps in the next two months, it would most likely be weak. This year, some scientists had said rising water temperatures and changing...