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Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 27
2024-07-05 10:43:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 050843 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0900 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 86.9W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 86.9W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 86.2W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.7N 88.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.7N 91.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.9N 93.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.8N 94.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.7N 96.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.0N 97.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 28.0N 98.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 30.0N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 86.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Aletta Graphics
2024-07-05 10:37:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 05 Jul 2024 08:37:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Jul 2024 08:37:42 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Aletta Forecast Discussion Number 4
2024-07-05 10:36:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM MST Fri Jul 05 2024 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 050836 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Aletta Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012024 200 AM MST Fri Jul 05 2024 Data from the ASCAT-B and ASCAT-C scatterometers, which both provided a good sampling of Aletta's circulation, revealed that the system no longer had tropical-storm-force winds. The scatterometer data also showed that the center of the tropical cyclone is displaced to the west of the remaining area of deep convection, presumably due to easterly vertical wind shear. Accordingly, the system is being downgraded to a tropical depression on this advisory. During the next day or two, Aletta should be under the influence of increasingly dry air with continued moderate shear, while moving over marginal sea surface temperatures. Therefore the system is expected to degenerate into a remnant low in 12 to 24 hours, and dissipate soon thereafter. This is similar to the previous official intensity forecast. Aletta is turning to the left with an initial motion estimate of 290/10 kt. The weakening cyclone should turn westward to west-southwestward within the low-level flow until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0900Z 18.7N 108.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/1800Z 18.7N 109.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 06/0600Z 18.3N 111.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/1800Z 17.9N 112.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics