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Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 6
2024-06-30 04:40:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Jun 29 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 300239 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1100 PM AST Sat Jun 29 2024 ...BERYL STILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.4N 51.2W ABOUT 595 MI...955 KM ESE OF BARBADOS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Barbados * St. Lucia * St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands * Grenada A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Martinique * Tobago A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominica A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches and warnings may be required tomorrow. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 10.4 North, longitude 51.2 West. Beryl is moving quickly toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h). A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, and Beryl is expected to become a dangerous major hurricane before it reaches the Windward Islands. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area beginning Sunday night. Devastating wind damage is expected where the eyewall of Beryl moves through portions of the Windward Islands. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area starting Sunday night, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area starting Sunday night. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow near where Beryl makes landfall in the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands Sunday night into Monday. This rainfall may cause flooding in vulnerable areas. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to reach the Windward and southern Leeward Islands by late Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 6
2024-06-30 04:38:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUN 30 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 300237 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC SUN JUN 30 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 51.2W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 51.2W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 50.3W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 10.8N 53.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 11.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.3N 60.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.4N 64.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.6N 67.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.6N 71.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 17.0N 78.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 40SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 18.5N 85.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N 51.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 30/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Beryl Graphics
2024-06-30 01:50:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 29 Jun 2024 23:50:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 29 Jun 2024 21:23:04 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics