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Hurricane Bud Public Advisory Number 8A
2018-06-11 19:39:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 PM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 111739 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Bud Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032018 1200 PM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018 ...CORE OF HURRICANE BUD CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO... ...RAINBANDS LINGERING NEAR THE COAST... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 107.2W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Bud was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 107.2 West. Bud is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight with a decrease in forward speed. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Tuesday, and this general motion should continue into mid-week. On the forecast track, the core of Bud and its stronger winds are expected to move away from the southwestern coast of mainland Mexico. Maximum sustained winds remain near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Bud is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is possible later today, but a slow weakening trend is expected to begin on Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. SURF: Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area beginning this afternoon. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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