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Hurricane CARLOS Public Advisory Number 13A
2015-06-14 01:37:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 132337 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 700 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015 ...OUTER BANDS OF CARLOS AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 100.0W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan de Galeana A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to west of Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Tecpan de Galeana to Punta Maldonado A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area within 48 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Carlos. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Carlos was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 100.0 West. Carlos is drifting toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h). Carlos is expected to turn toward the northwest by early Sunday. A west-northwest to northwest motion at an increasing forward speed is expected late Sunday into Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Carlos is expected to approach the coast of southwestern Mexico late Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area by early Sunday. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin within the hurricane warning area on Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area late on Monday. RAINFALL: Carlos is expected to produce 2-4 inches of rain across the southwestern coast of Mexico through Tuesday with locally higher amounts around 6 inches. The states of Mexico affected include Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will affect the coast of southern Mexico during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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