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Hurricane CARLOS Public Advisory Number 26
2015-06-17 05:01:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 170300 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015 ...HURRICANE CARLOS WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 104.5W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes, Mexico For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Carlos was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 104.5 West. Carlos is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), which is expected to continue for the next couple of days until dissipation. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Substantial weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Carlos is anticipated to become a tropical storm on Wednesday and a tropical depression by Thursday. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area through Wednesday night. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area through Wednesday. RAINFALL: Carlos is expected to produce heavy rains in the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Durango, and Sinaloa with rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible through Friday. Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are also possible. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of higher terrain. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will continue to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or two. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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