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Hurricane CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2015-06-16 10:45:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 160845 PWSEP3 HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 0900 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) P VALLARTA 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 4(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 2 28(30) 8(38) 1(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 3 18(21) 5(26) 1(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) MANZANILLO 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) L CARDENAS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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