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Hurricane CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2015-06-16 22:40:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 162039 PWSEP3 HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 2100 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAN BLAS 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) P VALLARTA 34 1 9(10) 15(25) 4(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) P VALLARTA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 15 35(50) 4(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 1 12(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 12 20(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) MANZANILLO 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) L CARDENAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 12(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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