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Hurricane DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 10

2015-07-13 22:31:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 132031 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.5W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.5W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.2W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.5N 107.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.8N 108.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.1N 108.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.6N 109.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.8N 112.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.0N 115.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.2N 118.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 106.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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