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Hurricane DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 17

2015-07-15 16:32:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 151431 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 110.2W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......140NE 150SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 110.2W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 109.9W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.8N 111.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.4N 112.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.8N 113.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N 115.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.9N 118.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 23.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 25.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 110.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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