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Hurricane DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 20

2015-07-16 10:44:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 16 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 160844 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 0900 UTC THU JUL 16 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 111.4W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 140SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 111.4W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.1W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 112.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.6N 113.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.0N 115.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.6N 117.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 120.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 28.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 30.5N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 111.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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