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Hurricane DOLORES Public Advisory Number 19
2015-07-16 04:34:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 160234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 900 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2015 ...EYE OF MAJOR HURRICANE DOLORES VERY NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 110.9W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SW OF SOCORRO ISLAND MEXICO ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of the large eye of Hurricane Dolores was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 110.9 West. Dolores is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday. A turn toward the west is forecast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Dolores is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are possible through Thursday, but weakening is forecast to begin Thursday night or Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). An automated station on Socorro Island reported a sustained wind of 80 mph (128 km/h) with a gust to 114 mph (183 km/h) a couple of hours ago. The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches), partially based on an observed pressure of 970 mb at Socorro Island, which was measured outside of the eye. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Dolores are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern coast of the Baja California peninsula. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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