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Hurricane DOLORES Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2015-07-13 22:33:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 132033 PWSEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 4(24) 1(25) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 5(21) X(21) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 1(14) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAN BLAS 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) P VALLARTA 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 6 5(11) 2(13) 3(16) X(16) 1(17) X(17) MANZANILLO 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) L CARDENAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 8(10) 24(34) 27(61) 18(79) 3(82) X(82) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 21(27) 20(47) 2(49) 1(50) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 15(27) 1(28) 1(29) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 18(21) 14(35) 3(38) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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