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Hurricane DOLORES Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2015-07-14 22:47:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 142047 PWSEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 3( 5) 6(11) 7(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 5(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P VALLARTA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 38 47(85) 7(92) 1(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) ISLA SOCORRO 50 2 41(43) 19(62) 3(65) X(65) 1(66) X(66) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 19(19) 15(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) ISLA CLARION 34 1 2( 3) 6( 9) 12(21) 12(33) 2(35) 1(36) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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