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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 57

2019-09-07 16:51:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 071451 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 57 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 9( 9) 11(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ILE ST PIERRE 34 4 44(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) BURGEO NFLD 34 17 63(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) BURGEO NFLD 50 X 24(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) PTX BASQUES 34 41 57(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) PTX BASQUES 50 X 83(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) PTX BASQUES 64 X 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) EDDY POINT NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) EDDY POINT NS 50 79 19(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) EDDY POINT NS 64 5 36(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) SYDNEY NS 34 86 12(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) SYDNEY NS 50 5 78(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) SYDNEY NS 64 X 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SABLE ISLAND 34 78 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) SABLE ISLAND 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HALIFAX NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HALIFAX NS 50 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) HALIFAX NS 64 57 2(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) YARMOUTH NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) YARMOUTH NS 50 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) MONCTON NB 34 84 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) MONCTON NB 50 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ST JOHN NB 34 71 X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) EASTPORT ME 34 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) BAR HARBOR ME 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA ME 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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