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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 15

2020-10-22 16:57:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 221457 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 61.2W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......270NE 200SE 120SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..630NE 360SE 510SW 510NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 61.2W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 61.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.9N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...230NE 200SE 120SW 230NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.4N 61.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 190SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.1N 61.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 36.9N 60.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 260SE 200SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 39.6N 57.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 40NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 240SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.0N 50.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 150SE 120SW 40NW. 34 KT...290NE 320SE 310SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 52.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 61.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PAPIN

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