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Hurricane Florence Forecast Advisory Number 61
2018-09-14 16:39:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018 687 WTNT21 KNHC 141439 TCMAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 61 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 1500 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED NORTH OF DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM DUCK NORTH CAROLINA SOUTH TO BOGUE INLET...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO SOUND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA * BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA * ALBEMARLE SOUND INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 78.0W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 20NW. 50 KT.......100NE 80SE 80SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 150SE 140SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 240SE 120SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 78.0W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 77.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.9N 78.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 70SE 60SW 20NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 33.8N 79.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 33.9N 80.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 34.7N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 37.7N 83.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 41.2N 78.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 44.4N 68.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N 78.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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