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Hurricane GONZALO Forecast Advisory Number 16
2014-10-16 10:31:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 000 WTNT23 KNHC 160831 TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0900 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 68.7W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 68.7W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 68.7W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 26.8N 68.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.2N 67.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.9N 65.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 35.3N 63.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 45.5N 53.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 90SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 200SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 52.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 55.0N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 68.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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