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Hurricane Grace Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22
2021-08-18 22:42:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 18 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 182041 PWSAT2 HURRICANE GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 2100 UTC WED AUG 18 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 1(37) X(37) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 55(62) 1(63) X(63) TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 1(31) X(31) TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 23(35) X(35) X(35) VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FRONTERA MX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MERIDA MX 34 2 62(64) 20(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) MERIDA MX 50 X 16(16) 18(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) MERIDA MX 64 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COZUMEL MX 34 74 24(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) COZUMEL MX 50 14 67(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) COZUMEL MX 64 3 32(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) BELIZE CITY 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANAJA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 32 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) HAVANA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRAND CAYMAN 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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