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Hurricane Helene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2024-09-26 16:54:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 261454 PWSAT4 HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FLORENCE SC 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLESTON SC 34 1 27(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 7 39(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) ATLANTA GA 34 1 82(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 48(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) SAVANNAH GA 34 7 38(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) KINGS BAY GA 34 59 20(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) KINGS BAY GA 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WAYCROSS GA 34 56 41(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) WAYCROSS GA 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 64 15(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) MAYPORT NS FL 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 73 16(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 50 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 79 2(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) THE VILLAGES 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) THE VILLAGES 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ORLANDO FL 34 87 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) COCOA BEACH FL 34 59 3(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) PATRICK AFB 34 60 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) FT PIERCE FL 34 42 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) W PALM BEACH 34 26 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) FT LAUDERDALE 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MIAMI FL 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MARATHON FL 34 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) KEY WEST FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 34 82 X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) FT MYERS FL 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) VENICE FL 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) VENICE FL 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) TAMPA FL 50 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) TAMPA FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 50 64 5(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) CEDAR KEY FL 64 16 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 92 8(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 7 88(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 2 66(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) ST MARKS FL 34 98 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST MARKS FL 50 20 77(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) ST MARKS FL 64 6 73(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) APALACHICOLA 34 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) APALACHICOLA 50 48 34(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) APALACHICOLA 64 16 30(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) GFMX 290N 850W 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) GFMX 290N 850W 50 84 2(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) GFMX 290N 850W 64 55 4(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) PANAMA CITY FL 34 70 12(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) PANAMA CITY FL 50 8 23(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) PANAMA CITY FL 64 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 10 16(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) ALBANY GA 34 34 66(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ALBANY GA 50 1 77(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) ALBANY GA 64 X 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) COLUMBUS GA 34 4 83(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) COLUMBUS GA 50 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MACON GA 34 4 94(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) MACON GA 50 X 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) DOTHAN AL 34 22 63(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) DOTHAN AL 50 1 21(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) DOTHAN AL 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 3 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) WHITING FLD FL 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PENSACOLA FL 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 290N 870W 34 23 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) GFMX 290N 870W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HAVANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLE OF PINES 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Hurricane Helene Forecast Advisory Number 13

2024-09-26 16:53:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 261453 TCMAT4 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 85.5W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......250NE 300SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 240SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 85.5W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 85.9W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 28.8N 84.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 33.9N 84.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 330SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.4N 86.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.5N 87.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.3N 87.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.2N 87.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 85.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 26/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Hurricane Helene Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

2024-09-26 16:53:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Thu, 26 Sep 2024 14:53:58 GMT


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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