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Hurricane Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2019-09-16 10:46:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 160846 PWSAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 73(73) 11(84) 1(85) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 13(46) 1(47) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 9(24) X(24) GRAND BAHAMA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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