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Hurricane ISELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2014-08-03 22:39:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 032038 PWSEP4 HURRICANE ISELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014 2100 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 3(25) X(25) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 5(20) X(20) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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