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Hurricane JOAQUIN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
2015-10-02 16:54:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 02 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 021453 PWSAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 1500 UTC FRI OCT 02 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOAQUIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 30(40) X(40) X(40) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GRAND BAHAMA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 10 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ANDROS 34 10 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GREAT EXUMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GREAT EXUMA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GREAT EXUMA 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN SALVADOR 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN SALVADOR 64 95 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYAGUANA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND TURK 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAMAGUEY 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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