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Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2017-09-09 16:57:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 091457 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1500 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 4(16) 3(19) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) PONCE PR 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 2( 8) AGUADILLA PR 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) SAN JUAN PR 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 2( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) SAINT THOMAS 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) SAINT CROIX 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 34 23 2(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) 1(27) SAINT MAARTEN 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BARBUDA 34 67 X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) ANTIGUA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER WPC FORECASTER

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