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Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2017-09-07 10:55:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 070855 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS ...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 7(20) X(20) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 5(23) 1(24) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 7(34) X(34) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 5(26) X(26) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 48(54) 2(56) 1(57) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 2(30) X(30) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 37(44) 1(45) X(45) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 46(68) X(68) X(68) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 37(41) 1(42) X(42) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) X(22) X(22) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 34(56) 1(57) X(57) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) X(26) X(26) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 17(37) 1(38) X(38) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) 1(12) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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