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Hurricane Kirk Graphics
2024-10-03 22:43:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 03 Oct 2024 20:43:55 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 03 Oct 2024 21:23:16 GMT
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Remnants of Eleven-E Graphics
2024-10-03 22:40:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 03 Oct 2024 20:40:58 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 03 Oct 2024 21:35:07 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of Eleven-E Forecast Discussion Number 9
2024-10-03 22:40:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM CST Thu Oct 03 2024 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 032040 TCDEP1 Remnants Of Eleven-E Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112024 300 PM CST Thu Oct 03 2024 A recent ASCAT overpass shows that a Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind event has interacted with the depression and disrupted the circulation. The scatterometer data indicate that there is no longer a well-defined closed circulation. although tropical-storm force winds are occurring to the northwest of the remains of the center. Based on this, the depression has degenerated to an open trough even though there are now stronger winds associated with the system than earlier. Thus, advisories and the Tropical Storm Warnings are being discontinued, and the current winds will be handled in marine gale warnings. The remnants of the center are near a cluster of convection over the Gulf of Tehuantepec, and they should move northward over southeastern Mexico in the next 6-12 h. The remnants are expected to dissipate over Mexico on Friday. Although the depression has degenerated, the threat of heavy rainfall will continue over portions of southern Mexico for the next day or two. For additional information on the remnant low please see forecasts from the Meteorological Service of Mexico and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php KEY MESSAGES: 1. Although the Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued, wind gusts to tropical-storm force are possible for the next several hours along the coast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, particularly in areas of onshore winds. 2. Due to the remnants of Tropical Depression Eleven-E, additional heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southern Mexico this week. Flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain, are possible, especially across portions of the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Veracruz, Tabasco and coastal Guerrero. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/2100Z 15.7N 94.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 04/0600Z 16.5N 94.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics