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Hurricane Kirk Public Advisory Number 10
2024-10-02 04:40:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 01 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 020240 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Kirk Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 01 2024 ...KIRK HOLDING STEADY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.7N 40.8W ABOUT 1115 MI...1790 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kirk was located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 40.8 West. Kirk is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next few days and Kirk is expected to become a major hurricane by Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2024-10-02 04:34:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM CST Tue Oct 01 2024 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 020234 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Eleven-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112024 900 PM CST Tue Oct 01 2024 The depression has not become better organized this evening. Deep convection has been separating from the low-level center, which is now exposed to the east of the thunderstorms. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt, near the high end of the satellite estimates. The system is close to the coast, currently over the Gulf of Tehuantepec, and appears to be moving northward at about 5 kt. The models don't have a good handle on this system, likely because it is weak and relatively small. The official track forecast continues to lean heavily on the ECMWF solution, taking the system inland over southern Mexico on Wednesday. There could be a little strengthening before the depression reaches the coast, but given its current structure, significant intensification is not expected. The main impact from the system is expected to be heavy rainfall, which could lead to flooding and mudslides over portions of southern Mexico and western Guatemala. KEY MESSAGES: 1. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before it moves inland over southern or southeastern Mexico on Wednesday. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for that area. 2. Tropical Depression Eleven-E will likely bring heavy rainfall to portions of southern Mexico and Guatemala this week. Flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain, are possible, especially from western Guatemala into portions of the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Veracruz, and Tabasco. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0300Z 15.6N 94.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 02/1200Z 15.9N 94.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 03/0000Z 16.5N 94.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 36H 03/1200Z 17.0N 94.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 48H 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Depression Eleven-E (EP1/EP112024)
2024-10-02 04:33:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL IN WESTERN GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 9:00 PM CST Tue Oct 1 the center of Eleven-E was located near 15.6, -94.6 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics