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Hurricane Kirk Public Advisory Number 19
2024-10-04 04:32:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Oct 03 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 040231 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Kirk Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 1100 PM AST Thu Oct 03 2024 ...KIRK IS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... ...LARGE SWELLS COULD REACH THE U.S. EAST COAST BY SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 47.5W ABOUT 1040 MI...1670 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1670 MI...2685 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Kirk was located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 47.5 West. Kirk is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday. A turn toward the north and north-northeast at a faster forward speed is forecast over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Kirk is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is possible through early Friday, but steady weakening is expected after that. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 935 mb (27.61 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kirk are spreading westward and are expected to reach portions of the Leeward Islands on Friday, Bermuda and the Greater Antilles on Saturday, and the east coast of the United States, Atlantic Canada, and the Bahamas on Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-04 01:35:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
359 ABPZ20 KNHC 032335 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 3 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the remnants of Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located near the coast of southeastern Mexico. Western Portion of the East Pacific (EP98): A low pressure system located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some limited development is possible while the low moves slowly northward or north-northeastward during the next couple of days. Atmospheric conditions should become less conducive and prevent further development by the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the early to middle part of next week. Thereafter, some slow development is possible while the system drifts northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-04 01:18:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 032317 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Oct 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Gulf of Mexico: A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the central and western Gulf of Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the south-central or southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Gradual development is possible after the low develops, and a tropical or subtropical depression or storm could form during the early or middle portions of next week while the low moves slowly eastward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next few days and over portions of the Florida Peninsula from late this weekend into next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics