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Hurricane Larry Forecast Advisory Number 15
2021-09-04 10:30:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 04 2021 887 WTNT22 KNHC 040830 TCMAT2 HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0900 UTC SAT SEP 04 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 44.6W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......130NE 110SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 210SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 44.6W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 44.0W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.2N 46.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.4N 48.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.7N 50.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.0N 52.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 54.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.3N 56.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 26.1N 59.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 30.6N 62.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 44.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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