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Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 21
2024-10-07 16:43:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 07 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 071443 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 07 2024 ...LESLIE SLIGHTLY WEAKER AS IT CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.4N 41.2W ABOUT 1120 MI...1805 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 41.2 West. Leslie is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue over the next few days followed by a turn toward the north-northwest on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast through the week, and Leslie is expected to weaken to a tropical storm in a day or so. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk Graphics
2024-10-07 16:43:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 07 Oct 2024 14:43:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 07 Oct 2024 14:43:36 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk Forecast Discussion Number 33
2024-10-07 16:41:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 PM GMT Mon Oct 07 2024 365 WTNT42 KNHC 071441 TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk Discussion Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 300 PM GMT Mon Oct 07 2024 Satellite imagery and model analyses indicate that Kirk has completed its transition to an extratropical cyclone. Therefore, this will be the final NHC advisory. Kirk is expected to remain a large and powerful extratropical cyclone over the next couple of days as it moves east-northeastward across the northeastern Atlantic Ocean toward western Europe. Gradual weakening is forecast, and the intensity forecast best matches the GFS and ECMWF global models. Very little change has been made to the previous NHC track forecast. The track forecast is near the consensus models. Kirk will be passing north of the Azores over the next 24 hours. Large breaking waves are likely along portions of the coasts of the Azores, along with gusty winds. Swells from Kirk may continue to induce a high rip current risk along portions of the U.S. East Coast for another day or so. These swells will affect Bermuda, Atlantic Canada and the Azores for a few more days. Kirk will move over western Europe by late Wednesday. Future information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/1500Z 41.7N 38.4W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 08/0000Z 43.1N 33.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 08/1200Z 43.5N 25.7W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 09/0000Z 43.7N 16.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 09/1200Z 45.4N 6.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 10/0000Z 48.5N 4.5E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics