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Hurricane Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 32
2024-10-10 10:42:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 000 FONT13 KNHC 100842 PWSAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Hurricane Leslie (AT3/AL132024)
2024-10-10 10:41:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE LIKELY PEAKED IN STRENGTH... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Oct 10 the center of Leslie was located near 22.9, -49.8 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 972 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 32
2024-10-10 10:41:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Oct 10 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 100841 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 32 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024 500 AM AST Thu Oct 10 2024 ...LESLIE LIKELY PEAKED IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 49.8W ABOUT 1705 MI...2740 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 49.8 West. Leslie is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn to the north and north-northeast with an increase in forward motion is forecast on Friday, followed by a turn to the northeast and east-northeast over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Leslie is forecast to weaken during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics