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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 12
2016-10-01 04:57:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 010257 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO PORT-AU-PRINCE A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA AND ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 72.3W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 30SE 30SW 75NW. 34 KT.......180NE 60SE 50SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 270SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 72.3W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 72.0W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.3N 73.3W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 80SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.7N 74.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.6N 75.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 70SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 120SE 70SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.0N 76.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.1N 76.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N 76.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 72.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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